Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
226.04 – 156.73
70%30%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
248 – 95
Prediction correct · off by 41.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 484.5 ±13.1
Season APEX 219.7Event APEX 118.61Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 59.7Event APEX 30.31Rank 16Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 80
Season APEX 205.1Event APEX 77.12Rank 12Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 364.9 ±14.9
Season APEX 81.5Event APEX 56.07Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 77
Season APEX 46.1Event APEX 12.78Rank 34Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 237.3Event APEX 87.88Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6017, 5932, 7421
83
/ 100 compatProjected
226 pts
~1.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 6017, 5932, 7421
Auto
44.8 20%
Teleop
120.9 54%
Endgame
57.1 26%
Strengths
- · 6017 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4584, 9280, 3354
77
/ 100 compatProjected
156.7 pts
~1.0 RP (regional)
Teams: 4584, 9280, 3354
Auto
25.7 17%
Teleop
87.9 58%
Endgame
37.6 25%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.83 · Blue 1
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score226pts
Blue projected score156.7pts
Red win probability70%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 38%, blue 37%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 69.3
- Score range
- 137–246
- Upset likelihood
- 30%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
484.5Season APEX364.9
44.8Auto25.7
120.9Teleop87.9
57.1Endgame37.6
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 30 | 21 |
| teleop | 137 | 40 |
| endgame | 76 | 24 |
| foul | 5 | 10 |
| total | 248 | 95 |
Result
Final score
248 – 95
Prediction correct · off by 41.8 pts
Match videos
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