Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
348.36 – 137.92
93%7%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
346 – 226
Prediction correct · off by 45.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 679.8 ±11.2
Season APEX 247.7Event APEX 172.37Rank 2Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 170.1Event APEX 8.75Rank 32Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 262Event APEX 167.24Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 397.1 ±12.7
Season APEX 150Event APEX 66.81Rank 8Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 96.7Event APEX 19.61Rank 25Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 150.4Event APEX 51.5Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3478, 6200, 4635
82
/ 100 compatProjected
348.4 pts
~2.2 RP (regional)
Teams: 3478, 6200, 4635
Auto
74.3 22%
Teleop
195.0 57%
Endgame
73.3 21%
Strengths
- · 3478 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7546, 8740, 6652
70
/ 100 compatProjected
137.9 pts
~0.5 RP (regional)
Teams: 7546, 8740, 6652
Auto
18.7 14%
Teleop
74.1 54%
Endgame
43.7 32%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.24 · Blue 0.52
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score348.4pts
Blue projected score137.9pts
Red win probability93%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 32%, blue 34%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 210.4
- Score range
- 118–368
- Upset likelihood
- 7%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
679.8Season APEX397.1
74.3Auto18.7
195Teleop74.1
73.3Endgame43.7
0Consistency18
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 87 | 28 |
| teleop | 178 | 106 |
| endgame | 81 | 72 |
| foul | 0 | 20 |
| total | 346 | 226 |
Result
Final score
346 – 226
Prediction correct · off by 45.2 pts
Match videos
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