Regional Monterrey presented by PrepaTec

Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

117.07 – 115.59

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

213 – 78

Prediction correct · off by 66.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 397.1 ±12.7

7546Prepa Tec - MinerZ

Season APEX 150Event APEX 59.03Rank 8Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8740Prepa Tecmilenio - Quantum Force

Season APEX 96.7Event APEX 12.66Rank 25Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6652Tigres

Season APEX 150.4Event APEX 45.38Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 280.1 ±16.5

3472PrepaTec - Buluk

Season APEX 63.4Event APEX 12.19Rank 24Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

4775Aztech Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 56.1Event APEX 47.1Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

11065STEAMex Overheat

Season APEX 160.6Event APEX 56.3Rank 7Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7546, 8740, 6652

/ 100 compat

Projected

117.1 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 7546, 8740, 6652

Auto

18.5 16%

Teleop

60.3 52%

Endgame

36.7 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3472, 4775, 11065

/ 100 compat

Projected

115.6 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 3472, 4775, 11065

Auto

15.6 13%

Teleop

72.0 61%

Endgame

30.8 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.39 · Blue 1.32

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score117.1pts

Blue projected score115.6pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 1.5
Score range: 97–136
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 291 vs event baseline 107.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

397.1Season APEX280.1

18.5Auto15.6

60.3Teleop72

36.7Endgame30.8

44Consistency8

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	9
teleop	122	49
endgame	69	15
foul	0	5
total	213	78

Result

Final score

213 – 78

Prediction correct · off by 66.8 pts

Match videos

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