Qualification · Qualification 9
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
41.14 – 53.44
46%54%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
42 – 100
Prediction correct · off by 23.7 points
Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 135.1 ±19.2
Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 10.57Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 92
10529BATS
Provisional
Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 14.86Rank 31Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
9053Prepa Tecmilenio - Iron Hawks
Provisional
Season APEX 19.5Event APEX 15.71Rank 38Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 331.6 ±16.5
5133PrepaTec - Blue Steel
Provisional
Season APEX 47.2Event APEX 9.14Rank 28Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 221Event APEX 29.44Rank 11Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 63.4Event APEX 14.86Rank 24Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7102, 10529, 9053
45
/ 100 compatProjected
41.1 pts
~1.2 RP (regional)
Teams: 7102, 10529, 9053
Auto
4.6 13%
Teleop
22.3 63%
Endgame
8.6 24%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 23%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5133, 6106, 3472
49
/ 100 compatProjected
53.4 pts
~1.4 RP (regional)
Teams: 5133, 6106, 3472
Auto
3.7 8%
Teleop
27.5 58%
Endgame
16.1 34%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 23%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.2 · Blue 1.41
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score41.1pts
Blue projected score53.4pts
Red win probability46%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 23%, blue 28%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -12.3
- Score range
- 25–69
- Upset likelihood
- 46%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
135.1Season APEX331.6
4.6Auto3.7
22.3Teleop27.5
8.6Endgame16.1
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 12 | 9 |
| teleop | 17 | 60 |
| endgame | 13 | 31 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 42 | 100 |
Result
Final score
42 – 100
Prediction correct · off by 23.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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