Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
51.64 – 70.28
44%56%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
202 – 61
Prediction missed · off by 79.8 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 346.5 ±14.9
Season APEX 52.7Event APEX -Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 77
Season APEX 46.1Event APEX 13.14Rank 34Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 247.7Event APEX 25.14Rank 2Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 195.7 ±18.4
Season APEX 150.4Event APEX 32Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
6832STEAMex
Provisional
Season APEX 21.5Event APEX 13.14Rank 42Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 74
9060Prepa Tecmilenio - Desert Robotics
Provisional
Season APEX 23.8Event APEX 25.14Rank 41Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6170, 9280, 3478
50
/ 100 compatProjected
51.6 pts
~1.3 RP (regional)
Teams: 6170, 9280, 3478
Auto
4.6 9%
Teleop
31.5 63%
Endgame
14.1 28%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 31%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6652, 6832, 9060
58
/ 100 compatProjected
70.3 pts
~1.4 RP (regional)
Teams: 6652, 6832, 9060
Auto
4.6 7%
Teleop
40.9 61%
Endgame
22.0 33%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 31%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.25 · Blue 1.37
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score51.6pts
Blue projected score70.3pts
Red win probability44%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 31%, blue 21%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -18.6
- Score range
- 38–84
- Upset likelihood
- 44%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
346.5Season APEX195.7
0.6Auto4.6
24.9Teleop40.9
11.4Endgame22
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 52 | 12 |
| teleop | 103 | 17 |
| endgame | 47 | 32 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 202 | 61 |
Result
Final score
202 – 61
Prediction missed · off by 79.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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