Qualification · Qualification 72
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
96.54 – 29.59
70%30%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
128 – 44
Prediction correct · off by 22.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 304.4 ±16.2
9060Prepa Tecmilenio - Desert Robotics
Provisional
Season APEX 23.8Event APEX 1.97Rank 41Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 205.1Event APEX 74.36Rank 12Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 20.21Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 92
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 110.5 ±20.8
10931Silver Talon
Provisional
Season APEX 24.2Event APEX -4.19Rank 39Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
9213Tecuani
Provisional
Season APEX 64.8Event APEX 26.33Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74
6832STEAMex
Provisional
Season APEX 21.5Event APEX 7.45Rank 42Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 74
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9060, 7421, 7102
55
/ 100 compatProjected
96.5 pts
~1.7 RP (regional)
Teams: 9060, 7421, 7102
Auto
18.3 19%
Teleop
60.3 62%
Endgame
18.6 19%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 31%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10931, 9213, 6832
28
/ 100 compatProjected
29.6 pts
~0.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 10931, 9213, 6832
Auto
10.1 42%
Teleop
9.2 39%
Endgame
4.5 19%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 31%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.74 · Blue 0.85
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score96.5pts
Blue projected score29.6pts
Red win probability70%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 31%, blue 20%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 67
- Score range
- 11–116
- Upset likelihood
- 30%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
304.4Season APEX110.5
18.3Auto10.1
60.3Teleop9.2
18.6Endgame4.5
53Consistency46
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 38 | 13 |
| teleop | 77 | 21 |
| endgame | 13 | 10 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 128 | 44 |
Result
Final score
128 – 44
Prediction correct · off by 22.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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