Regional Monterrey presented by PrepaTec

Qualification · Qualification 70

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

111.06 – 195

26%74%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

145 – 274

Prediction correct · off by 56.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 417.4 ±16.5

6106PrepaTec - TecGear

Season APEX 221Event APEX 45.57Rank 11Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7546Prepa Tec - MinerZ

Season APEX 150Event APEX 56.37Rank 8Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4371Prepa Tecmilenio - ART

Provisional

Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 9.12Rank 36Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 334.2 ±18

6676Prepa Tecmilenio - Thunder Hawks - 6676

Provisional

Season APEX 45.9Event APEX 14.88Rank 26Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

3478PrepaTec - LamBot

Season APEX 247.7Event APEX 169.81Rank 2Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10565FARADAY- Prepa Tecmilenio

Provisional

Season APEX 40.6Event APEX 10.31Rank 23Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6106, 7546, 4371

/ 100 compat

Projected

111.1 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 6106, 7546, 4371

Auto

15.3 14%

Teleop

59.8 55%

Endgame

32.8 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6676, 3478, 10565

/ 100 compat

Projected

195 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 6676, 3478, 10565

Auto

38.0 19%

Teleop

100.9 52%

Endgame

56.4 29%

Strengths

· 3478 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.88 · Blue 1.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score111.1pts

Blue projected score195pts

Red win probability26%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -83.9
Score range: 92–214
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 419 vs event baseline 105.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

417.4Season APEX334.2

15.3Auto38

59.8Teleop100.9

32.8Endgame56.4

6Consistency29

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	34
teleop	67	136
endgame	31	89
foul	15	15
total	145	274

Result

Final score

145 – 274

Prediction correct · off by 56.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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