Qualification · Qualification 69
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
60.7 – 101.9
37%63%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
149 – 99
Prediction missed · off by 45.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 268.9 ±16.5
Season APEX 63.4Event APEX 7.02Rank 24Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Season APEX 160.6Event APEX 45.65Rank 7Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94
4782PrepaTec - Borrebots
Provisional
Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 8.03Rank 29Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 161.5 ±14.6
Season APEX 52.9Event APEX 38.6Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 80
Season APEX 46.1Event APEX 20.12Rank 34Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 62.5Event APEX 43.18Rank 20Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3472, 11065, 4782
43
/ 100 compatProjected
60.7 pts
~1.1 RP (regional)
Teams: 3472, 11065, 4782
Auto
14.2 24%
Teleop
35.5 61%
Endgame
8.9 15%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 35%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3933, 9280, 6348
60
/ 100 compatProjected
101.9 pts
~1.6 RP (regional)
Teams: 3933, 9280, 6348
Auto
16.8 19%
Teleop
44.6 50%
Endgame
28.6 32%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 35%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.14 · Blue 1.55
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score60.7pts
Blue projected score101.9pts
Red win probability37%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 35%, blue 26%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -41.2
- Score range
- 42–121
- Upset likelihood
- 37%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
268.9Season APEX161.5
14.2Auto16.8
35.5Teleop44.6
8.9Endgame28.6
12Consistency31
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 30 | 26 |
| teleop | 84 | 53 |
| endgame | 35 | 20 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 149 | 99 |
Result
Final score
149 – 99
Prediction missed · off by 45.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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