Qualification · Qualification 67
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
38.39 – 65.28
42%58%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
43 – 72
Prediction correct · off by 5.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 128.3 ±19.2
8741Prepa Tecmilenio - Raccoons
Provisional
Season APEX 17.7Event APEX 2.71Rank 43Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 22.97Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 92
3794Prepa Tecmilenio WinT
Provisional
Season APEX 35.1Event APEX 12.71Rank 35Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 262.8 ±17.5
Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 16.37Rank 30Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 43.9Event APEX 32.65Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 170.1Event APEX 16.26Rank 32Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8741, 7102, 3794
30
/ 100 compatProjected
38.4 pts
~1.1 RP (regional)
Teams: 8741, 7102, 3794
Auto
14.6 37%
Teleop
23.3 58%
Endgame
2.0 5%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 25%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5959, 3480, 6200
44
/ 100 compatProjected
65.3 pts
~1.4 RP (regional)
Teams: 5959, 3480, 6200
Auto
21.4 36%
Teleop
22.3 37%
Endgame
16.2 27%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 25%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.13 · Blue 1.37
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score38.4pts
Blue projected score65.3pts
Red win probability42%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 25%, blue 16%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -26.9
- Score range
- 19–84
- Upset likelihood
- 42%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
128.3Season APEX262.8
14.6Auto21.4
23.3Teleop22.3
2Endgame16.2
32Consistency36
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 15 | 20 |
| teleop | 17 | 45 |
| endgame | 11 | 7 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 43 | 72 |
Result
Final score
43 – 72
Prediction correct · off by 5.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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