Regional Monterrey presented by PrepaTec

Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

171.13 – 119.5

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

279 – 93

Prediction correct · off by 67.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 407.3 ±15.8

4635PrepaTec - Botbusters

Season APEX 262Event APEX 166.09Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9282PrepaTec- SINAVOLT

Provisional

Season APEX 32.2Event APEX 0.68Rank 27Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

10225Prepa Tecmilenio - PYROX

Season APEX 113.1Event APEX 4.36Rank 37Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 298.9 ±18

10529BATS

Provisional

Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 12.82Rank 31Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

3354PrepaTec - TecDroid

Season APEX 237.3Event APEX 96.74Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6832STEAMex

Provisional

Season APEX 21.5Event APEX 9.94Rank 42Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4635, 9282, 10225

/ 100 compat

Projected

171.1 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 4635, 9282, 10225

Auto

45.0 27%

Teleop

84.5 51%

Endgame

35.1 21%

Strengths

· 4635 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10529, 3354, 6832

/ 100 compat

Projected

119.5 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 10529, 3354, 6832

Auto

21.1 18%

Teleop

67.4 59%

Endgame

25.9 23%

Strengths

· 3354 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.7 · Blue 0.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score171.1pts

Blue projected score119.5pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 51.6
Score range: 101–190
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 372 vs event baseline 103.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

407.3Season APEX298.9

45Auto21.1

84.5Teleop67.4

35.1Endgame25.9

71Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	23
teleop	156	25
endgame	56	10
foul	20	35
total	279	93

Result

Final score

279 – 93

Prediction correct · off by 67.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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