Regional Monterrey presented by PrepaTec

Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

209.03 – 9.44

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

311 – 40

Prediction correct · off by 66.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 400.5 ±15.1

8740Prepa Tecmilenio - Quantum Force

Season APEX 96.7Event APEX 8.53Rank 25Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3478PrepaTec - LamBot

Season APEX 247.7Event APEX 160.43Rank 2Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4775Aztech Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 56.1Event APEX 40.07Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 132.2 ±19.2

4371Prepa Tecmilenio - ART

Provisional

Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 6.64Rank 36Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

4010PrepaTec - Nautilus

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 5.16Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

6606Prepa Tecmilenio Pink Hawks 6606

Provisional

Season APEX 19.4Event APEX -2.36Rank 40Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8740, 3478, 4775

/ 100 compat

Projected

209 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 8740, 3478, 4775

Auto

41.2 20%

Teleop

109.0 53%

Endgame

57.4 28%

Strengths

· 3478 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4371, 4010, 6606

/ 100 compat

Projected

9.4 pts

~0.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 4371, 4010, 6606

Auto

3.7 59%

Teleop

-4.9 0%

Endgame

7.5 100%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.23 · Blue 0.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score209pts

Blue projected score9.4pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 24%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 199.6
Score range: -9–227
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 351 vs event baseline 102.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

400.5Season APEX132.2

41.2Auto3.7

109Teleop-4.9

57.4Endgame7.5

13Consistency46

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	52	4
teleop	172	18
endgame	87	3
foul	0	15
total	311	40

Result

Final score

311 – 40

Prediction correct · off by 66.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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