Qualification · Qualification 64
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
26.78 – 120.07
24%76%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
80 – 104
Prediction correct · off by 34.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 152 ±18.8
9060Prepa Tecmilenio - Desert Robotics
Provisional
Season APEX 23.8Event APEX 2.2Rank 41Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
9213Tecuani
Provisional
Season APEX 64.8Event APEX 24.82Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74
Season APEX 63.4Event APEX -0.24Rank 24Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 341 ±16
Season APEX 150Event APEX 60.64Rank 8Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
10565FARADAY- Prepa Tecmilenio
Provisional
Season APEX 40.6Event APEX 16.4Rank 23Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 150.4Event APEX 43.03Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9060, 9213, 3472
30
/ 100 compatProjected
26.8 pts
~0.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 9060, 9213, 3472
Auto
3.5 13%
Teleop
17.0 63%
Endgame
6.5 24%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 27%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7546, 10565, 6652
67
/ 100 compatProjected
120.1 pts
~1.9 RP (regional)
Teams: 7546, 10565, 6652
Auto
10.0 8%
Teleop
71.7 59%
Endgame
39.5 33%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 27%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.79 · Blue 1.89
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score26.8pts
Blue projected score120.1pts
Red win probability24%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 27%, blue 33%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -93.3
- Score range
- 9–138
- Upset likelihood
- 24%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
152Season APEX341
3.5Auto10
17Teleop71.7
6.5Endgame39.5
54Consistency82
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 26 | 17 |
| teleop | 37 | 48 |
| endgame | 12 | 39 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 80 | 104 |
Result
Final score
80 – 104
Prediction correct · off by 34.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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