Qualification · Qualification 62
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
33.98 – 101.05
30%70%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
86 – 76
Prediction missed · off by 38.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 114 ±20.2
10931Silver Talon
Provisional
Season APEX 24.2Event APEX -5.91Rank 39Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
6676Prepa Tecmilenio - Thunder Hawks - 6676
Provisional
Season APEX 45.9Event APEX 11.94Rank 26Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 43.9Event APEX 27.95Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 76
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 377.9 ±16.5
Season APEX 160.6Event APEX 53.77Rank 7Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94
5133PrepaTec - Blue Steel
Provisional
Season APEX 47.2Event APEX 28.28Rank 28Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 170.1Event APEX 19Rank 32Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10931, 6676, 3480
25
/ 100 compatProjected
34 pts
~0.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 10931, 6676, 3480
Auto
16.7 48%
Teleop
5.9 17%
Endgame
12.0 35%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 19%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11065, 5133, 6200
52
/ 100 compatProjected
101.1 pts
~1.7 RP (regional)
Teams: 11065, 5133, 6200
Auto
15.0 15%
Teleop
74.4 75%
Endgame
10.4 10%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 19%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.84 · Blue 1.69
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score34pts
Blue projected score101.1pts
Red win probability30%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 19%, blue 25%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -67.1
- Score range
- 16–119
- Upset likelihood
- 30%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
114Season APEX377.9
16.7Auto15
5.9Teleop74.4
12Endgame10.4
69Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 21 | 15 |
| teleop | 38 | 32 |
| endgame | 12 | 29 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 86 | 76 |
Result
Final score
86 – 76
Prediction missed · off by 38.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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