Qualification · Qualification 61
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
73.73 – 14.91
68%32%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
149 – 28
Prediction correct · off by 44.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 277.4 ±18
Season APEX 205.1Event APEX 67.37Rank 12Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
9282PrepaTec- SINAVOLT
Provisional
Season APEX 32.2Event APEX -1.04Rank 27Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
10529BATS
Provisional
Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 7.4Rank 31Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 89.9 ±20.2
8741Prepa Tecmilenio - Raccoons
Provisional
Season APEX 17.7Event APEX 1.63Rank 43Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
9053Prepa Tecmilenio - Iron Hawks
Provisional
Season APEX 19.5Event APEX -2.93Rank 38Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 52.7Event APEX 16.21Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 77
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7421, 9282, 10529
51
/ 100 compatProjected
73.7 pts
~1.7 RP (regional)
Teams: 7421, 9282, 10529
Auto
11.9 18%
Teleop
35.2 52%
Endgame
20.8 31%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 27%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8741, 9053, 6170
7
/ 100 compatProjected
14.9 pts
~0.9 RP (regional)
Teams: 8741, 9053, 6170
Auto
16.6 100%
Teleop
-11.8 0%
Endgame
4.5 48%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 27%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.66 · Blue 0.87
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score73.7pts
Blue projected score14.9pts
Red win probability68%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 27%, blue 18%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 58.8
- Score range
- -3–92
- Upset likelihood
- 32%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
277.4Season APEX89.9
11.9Auto16.6
35.2Teleop-11.8
20.8Endgame4.5
53Consistency59
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 20 | 11 |
| teleop | 100 | 5 |
| endgame | 29 | 7 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 149 | 28 |
Result
Final score
149 – 28
Prediction correct · off by 44.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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