Qualification · Qualification 60
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
221.98 – 64.14
88%12%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
210 – 79
Prediction correct · off by 13.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 366.6 ±16.4
Season APEX 59.7Event APEX 38.36Rank 16Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 80
Season APEX 262Event APEX 165.66Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
4782PrepaTec - Borrebots
Provisional
Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 17.96Rank 29Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 198 ±17.5
Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 23.66Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 92
4775Aztech Robotics
Provisional
Season APEX 56.1Event APEX 38.48Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 74
Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 2Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5932, 4635, 4782
82
/ 100 compatProjected
222 pts
~2.2 RP (regional)
Teams: 5932, 4635, 4782
Auto
64.5 29%
Teleop
114.4 52%
Endgame
41.1 19%
Strengths
- · 4635 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7102, 4775, 4010
36
/ 100 compatProjected
64.1 pts
~0.5 RP (regional)
Teams: 7102, 4775, 4010
Auto
-2.4 0%
Teleop
46.8 79%
Endgame
14.6 25%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.19 · Blue 0.51
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score222pts
Blue projected score64.1pts
Red win probability88%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 38%, blue 23%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 157.8
- Score range
- 46–240
- Upset likelihood
- 12%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
366.6Season APEX198
64.5Auto-2.4
114.4Teleop46.8
41.1Endgame14.6
0Consistency42
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 46 | 13 |
| teleop | 105 | 32 |
| endgame | 49 | 34 |
| foul | 10 | 0 |
| total | 210 | 79 |
Result
Final score
210 – 79
Prediction correct · off by 13.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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