Qualification · Qualification 6
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
162.89 – 228.54
31%69%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
160 – 218
Prediction correct · off by 6.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 365.2 ±14.4
Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 18.51Rank 30Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 219.7Event APEX 119.6Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 96.7Event APEX 24.78Rank 25Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 370.4 ±14.8
Season APEX 262Event APEX 157.31Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
6676Prepa Tecmilenio - Thunder Hawks - 6676
Provisional
Season APEX 45.9Event APEX 24.52Rank 26Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 62.5Event APEX 46.71Rank 20Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5959, 6017, 8740
77
/ 100 compatProjected
162.9 pts
~1.0 RP (regional)
Teams: 5959, 6017, 8740
Auto
29.9 20%
Teleop
77.4 51%
Endgame
45.4 30%
Strengths
- · 6017 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4635, 6676, 6348
85
/ 100 compatProjected
228.5 pts
~1.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 4635, 6676, 6348
Auto
54.7 25%
Teleop
109.4 50%
Endgame
54.5 25%
Strengths
- · 4635 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.99 · Blue 1.81
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score162.9pts
Blue projected score228.5pts
Red win probability31%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 33%, blue 38%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -65.6
- Score range
- 142–250
- Upset likelihood
- 31%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
365.2Season APEX370.4
29.9Auto54.7
77.4Teleop109.4
45.4Endgame54.5
1Consistency9
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 33 | 57 |
| teleop | 52 | 108 |
| endgame | 55 | 43 |
| foul | 20 | 10 |
| total | 160 | 218 |
Result
Final score
160 – 218
Prediction correct · off by 6.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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