Regional Monterrey presented by PrepaTec

Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

21.55 – 89.81

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

46 – 117

Prediction correct · off by 25.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 227.4 ±17.5

3522CBoT´S4

Season APEX 33.1Event APEX 13.5Rank 22Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 80

10931Silver Talon

Provisional

Season APEX 24.2Event APEX -7.68Rank 39Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

6200PrepaTec - XRAMS

Season APEX 170.1Event APEX 15.73Rank 32Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 311.5 ±16

9213Tecuani

Provisional

Season APEX 64.8Event APEX 20.77Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

7546Prepa Tec - MinerZ

Season APEX 150Event APEX 61.48Rank 8Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8740Prepa Tecmilenio - Quantum Force

Season APEX 96.7Event APEX 7.56Rank 25Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3522, 10931, 6200

/ 100 compat

Projected

21.6 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 3522, 10931, 6200

Auto

6.8 34%

Teleop

12.4 62%

Endgame

0.7 4%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 16%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9213, 7546, 8740

/ 100 compat

Projected

89.8 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 9213, 7546, 8740

Auto

12.7 15%

Teleop

46.0 54%

Endgame

26.5 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 16%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.8 · Blue 1.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score21.6pts

Blue projected score89.8pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 16%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -68.3
Score range: 4–108
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 163 vs event baseline 101.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

227.4Season APEX311.5

6.8Auto12.7

12.4Teleop46

0.7Endgame26.5

39Consistency2

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	16
teleop	20	76
endgame	1	25
foul	5	0
total	46	117

Result

Final score

46 – 117

Prediction correct · off by 25.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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