Regional Monterrey presented by PrepaTec

Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

151.22 – 225.57

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

51 – 227

Prediction correct · off by 50.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 418.9 ±12.2

7421PrepaTec - OVERTURE

Season APEX 205.1Event APEX 79.84Rank 12Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3472PrepaTec - Buluk

Season APEX 63.4Event APEX 14.16Rank 24Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

6652Tigres

Season APEX 150.4Event APEX 57.22Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 448.4 ±15.6

3478PrepaTec - LamBot

Season APEX 247.7Event APEX 161.34Rank 2Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10529BATS

Provisional

Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 9.23Rank 31Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

11065STEAMex Overheat

Season APEX 160.6Event APEX 55Rank 7Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7421, 3472, 6652

/ 100 compat

Projected

151.2 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 7421, 3472, 6652

Auto

26.6 18%

Teleop

80.3 54%

Endgame

41.6 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3478, 10529, 11065

/ 100 compat

Projected

225.6 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 3478, 10529, 11065

Auto

36.7 16%

Teleop

133.2 59%

Endgame

54.7 24%

Strengths

· 3478 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.91 · Blue 1.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score151.2pts

Blue projected score225.6pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -74.3
Score range: 133–244
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 278 vs event baseline 101.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

418.9Season APEX448.4

26.6Auto36.7

80.3Teleop133.2

41.6Endgame54.7

62Consistency74

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	62
teleop	21	127
endgame	15	38
foul	0	0
total	51	227

Result

Final score

51 – 227

Prediction correct · off by 50.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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