Qualification · Qualification 55
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
80.73 – 28.99
66%34%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
73 – 74
Prediction missed · off by 26.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 146.9 ±20.8
4782PrepaTec - Borrebots
Provisional
Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 22.58Rank 29Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
6676Prepa Tecmilenio - Thunder Hawks - 6676
Provisional
Season APEX 45.9Event APEX 15.55Rank 26Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
4775Aztech Robotics
Provisional
Season APEX 56.1Event APEX 42.6Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 74
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 270.9 ±18.8
Season APEX 221Event APEX 38.03Rank 11Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
9282PrepaTec- SINAVOLT
Provisional
Season APEX 32.2Event APEX -6.16Rank 27Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
8741Prepa Tecmilenio - Raccoons
Provisional
Season APEX 17.7Event APEX -2.88Rank 43Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4782, 6676, 4775
52
/ 100 compatProjected
80.7 pts
~1.6 RP (regional)
Teams: 4782, 6676, 4775
Auto
13.3 16%
Teleop
48.8 57%
Endgame
23.6 28%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 26%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6106, 9282, 8741
23
/ 100 compatProjected
29 pts
~0.9 RP (regional)
Teams: 6106, 9282, 8741
Auto
0.4 2%
Teleop
9.1 38%
Endgame
14.3 60%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 26%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.61 · Blue 0.94
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score80.7pts
Blue projected score29pts
Red win probability66%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 26%, blue 21%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 51.7
- Score range
- 11–99
- Upset likelihood
- 34%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
146.9Season APEX270.9
13.3Auto0.4
48.8Teleop9.1
23.6Endgame14.3
0Consistency79
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 7 | 21 |
| teleop | 42 | 26 |
| endgame | 19 | 12 |
| foul | 5 | 15 |
| total | 73 | 74 |
Result
Final score
73 – 74
Prediction missed · off by 26.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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