Qualification · Qualification 54
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
83.77 – 118.13
39%61%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
53 – 101
Prediction correct · off by 23.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 135.2 ±19.7
Season APEX 52.9Event APEX 36.41Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 80
3794Prepa Tecmilenio WinT
Provisional
Season APEX 35.1Event APEX 17.68Rank 35Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
5133PrepaTec - Blue Steel
Provisional
Season APEX 47.2Event APEX 29.68Rank 28Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 356.4 ±15.4
Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 2.67Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91
Season APEX 52.7Event APEX 19.47Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 77
Season APEX 237.3Event APEX 95.99Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3933, 3794, 5133
45
/ 100 compatProjected
83.8 pts
~1.1 RP (regional)
Teams: 3933, 3794, 5133
Auto
10.6 13%
Teleop
59.4 75%
Endgame
9.3 12%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 25%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4010, 6170, 3354
68
/ 100 compatProjected
118.1 pts
~1.5 RP (regional)
Teams: 4010, 6170, 3354
Auto
19.9 18%
Teleop
61.1 56%
Endgame
27.4 25%
Strengths
- · 3354 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 25%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.09 · Blue 1.52
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score83.8pts
Blue projected score118.1pts
Red win probability39%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 25%, blue 27%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -34.4
- Score range
- 66–136
- Upset likelihood
- 39%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
135.2Season APEX356.4
10.6Auto19.9
59.4Teleop61.1
9.3Endgame27.4
45Consistency42
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 13 | 14 |
| teleop | 27 | 26 |
| endgame | 13 | 41 |
| foul | 0 | 20 |
| total | 53 | 101 |
Result
Final score
53 – 101
Prediction correct · off by 23.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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