Qualification · Qualification 52
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
101.85 – 319.28
6%94%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
116 – 249
Prediction correct · off by 42.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 163.4 ±17.7
6606Prepa Tecmilenio Pink Hawks 6606
Provisional
Season APEX 19.4Event APEX -0.22Rank 40Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 62.5Event APEX 47.02Rank 20Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 81.5Event APEX 55.05Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 77
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 503.2 ±14.3
6832STEAMex
Provisional
Season APEX 21.5Event APEX 22.74Rank 42Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 74
Season APEX 262Event APEX 175.5Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 219.7Event APEX 121.04Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6606, 6348, 4584
60
/ 100 compatProjected
101.9 pts
~0.5 RP (regional)
Teams: 6606, 6348, 4584
Auto
13.2 14%
Teleop
55.8 58%
Endgame
27.7 29%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6832, 4635, 6017
81
/ 100 compatProjected
319.3 pts
~2.3 RP (regional)
Teams: 6832, 4635, 6017
Auto
64.0 21%
Teleop
174.5 57%
Endgame
66.8 22%
Strengths
- · 4635 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.54 · Blue 2.28
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score101.9pts
Blue projected score319.3pts
Red win probability6%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 38%, blue 35%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -217.4
- Score range
- 84–337
- Upset likelihood
- 6%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
163.4Season APEX503.2
13.2Auto64
55.8Teleop174.5
27.7Endgame66.8
0Consistency48
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 19 | 74 |
| teleop | 51 | 130 |
| endgame | 41 | 45 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 116 | 249 |
Result
Final score
116 – 249
Prediction correct · off by 42.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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