Qualification · Qualification 50
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
52.94 – 197.47
14%86%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
68 – 225
Prediction correct · off by 21.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 363.6 ±16
Season APEX 221Event APEX 39.06Rank 11Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 96.7Event APEX 1.82Rank 25Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
6676Prepa Tecmilenio - Thunder Hawks - 6676
Provisional
Season APEX 45.9Event APEX 12.06Rank 26Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 357.4 ±18
4782PrepaTec - Borrebots
Provisional
Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 22.67Rank 29Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
9213Tecuani
Provisional
Season APEX 64.8Event APEX 19.13Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74
Season APEX 247.7Event APEX 155.67Rank 2Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6106, 8740, 6676
31
/ 100 compatProjected
52.9 pts
~0.6 RP (regional)
Teams: 6106, 8740, 6676
Auto
19.0 39%
Teleop
9.5 19%
Endgame
20.8 42%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 28%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4782, 9213, 3478
81
/ 100 compatProjected
197.5 pts
~2.2 RP (regional)
Teams: 4782, 9213, 3478
Auto
34.2 17%
Teleop
115.9 59%
Endgame
46.5 24%
Strengths
- · 3478 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 28%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.6 · Blue 2.17
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score52.9pts
Blue projected score197.5pts
Red win probability14%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 28%, blue 40%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -144.5
- Score range
- 35–215
- Upset likelihood
- 14%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
363.6Season APEX357.4
19Auto34.2
9.5Teleop115.9
20.8Endgame46.5
0Consistency27
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 11 | 51 |
| teleop | 32 | 117 |
| endgame | 25 | 57 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 68 | 225 |
Result
Final score
68 – 225
Prediction correct · off by 21.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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