Qualification · Qualification 5
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
122.62 – 50.93
71%29%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
126 – 11
Prediction correct · off by 21.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 348.5 ±18
Season APEX 237.3Event APEX 83.03Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
4371Prepa Tecmilenio - ART
Provisional
Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 12.37Rank 36Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
9213Tecuani
Provisional
Season APEX 64.8Event APEX 27.22Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 197.7 ±18.8
8741Prepa Tecmilenio - Raccoons
Provisional
Season APEX 17.7Event APEX -2.75Rank 43Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
6606Prepa Tecmilenio Pink Hawks 6606
Provisional
Season APEX 19.4Event APEX -3Rank 40Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 160.6Event APEX 56.68Rank 7Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3354, 4371, 9213
63
/ 100 compatProjected
122.6 pts
~1.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 3354, 4371, 9213
Auto
23.1 20%
Teleop
66.5 56%
Endgame
28.5 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8741, 6606, 11065
38
/ 100 compatProjected
50.9 pts
~0.9 RP (regional)
Teams: 8741, 6606, 11065
Auto
13.8 28%
Teleop
27.3 56%
Endgame
8.0 16%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.83 · Blue 0.9
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score122.6pts
Blue projected score50.9pts
Red win probability71%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 37%, blue 28%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 71.7
- Score range
- 30–144
- Upset likelihood
- 29%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
348.5Season APEX197.7
23.1Auto13.8
66.5Teleop27.3
28.5Endgame8
0Consistency43
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 29 | 2 |
| teleop | 73 | 4 |
| endgame | 24 | 0 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 126 | 11 |
Result
Final score
126 – 11
Prediction correct · off by 21.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.