Qualification · Qualification 49
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
60.5 – 7.66
66%34%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
98 – 45
Prediction correct · off by 37.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 386.9 ±13.9
Season APEX 170.1Event APEX 8.15Rank 32Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 150.4Event APEX 54.55Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 66.4Event APEX -2.2Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 141.7 ±16.5
Season APEX 63.4Event APEX 7.8Rank 24Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94
9282PrepaTec- SINAVOLT
Provisional
Season APEX 32.2Event APEX -7.42Rank 27Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 46.1Event APEX 7.28Rank 34Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6200, 6652, 4010
48
/ 100 compatProjected
60.5 pts
~1.5 RP (regional)
Teams: 6200, 6652, 4010
Auto
7.8 14%
Teleop
30.1 55%
Endgame
16.7 31%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 17%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3472, 9282, 9280
3
/ 100 compatProjected
7.7 pts
~1.0 RP (regional)
Teams: 3472, 9282, 9280
Auto
2.8 100%
Teleop
-10.9 0%
Endgame
9.3 100%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 17%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.53 · Blue 0.97
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score60.5pts
Blue projected score7.7pts
Red win probability66%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 17%, blue 25%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 52.8
- Score range
- -10–79
- Upset likelihood
- 34%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
386.9Season APEX141.7
7.8Auto2.8
30.1Teleop-10.9
16.7Endgame9.3
101Consistency49
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 16 | 10 |
| teleop | 55 | 27 |
| endgame | 22 | 8 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 98 | 45 |
Result
Final score
98 – 45
Prediction correct · off by 37.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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