Qualification · Qualification 46
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
60.52 – 46.12
54%46%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
34 – 52
Prediction missed · off by 16.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 115.4 ±20.2
6606Prepa Tecmilenio Pink Hawks 6606
Provisional
Season APEX 19.4Event APEX 3.02Rank 40Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
5133PrepaTec - Blue Steel
Provisional
Season APEX 47.2Event APEX 36.12Rank 28Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 21.38Rank 30Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 152.1 ±20.2
Season APEX 81.5Event APEX 54.97Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 77
4371Prepa Tecmilenio - ART
Provisional
Season APEX 46.4Event APEX -0.18Rank 36Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
10931Silver Talon
Provisional
Season APEX 24.2Event APEX -8.67Rank 39Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6606, 5133, 5959
46
/ 100 compatProjected
60.5 pts
~1.4 RP (regional)
Teams: 6606, 5133, 5959
Auto
12.0 20%
Teleop
28.2 48%
Endgame
18.7 32%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 26%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4584, 4371, 10931
35
/ 100 compatProjected
46.1 pts
~1.2 RP (regional)
Teams: 4584, 4371, 10931
Auto
4.4 9%
Teleop
25.9 52%
Endgame
19.6 39%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 26%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.4 · Blue 1.22
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score60.5pts
Blue projected score46.1pts
Red win probability54%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 26%, blue 27%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 14.4
- Score range
- 28–79
- Upset likelihood
- 46%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
115.4Season APEX152.1
12Auto4.4
28.2Teleop25.9
18.7Endgame19.6
0Consistency34
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 6 | 14 |
| teleop | 14 | 28 |
| endgame | 9 | 10 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 34 | 52 |
Result
Final score
34 – 52
Prediction missed · off by 16.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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