Qualification · Qualification 45
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
182.23 – 92.64
75%25%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
290 – 107
Prediction correct · off by 61.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 466.5 ±13
Season APEX 129Event APEX 14.5Rank 19Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 5.79Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 92
Season APEX 262Event APEX 161.94Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 133.7 ±16.6
Season APEX 53.5Event APEX 45.84Rank 13Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 91
8741Prepa Tecmilenio - Raccoons
Provisional
Season APEX 17.7Event APEX -2.86Rank 43Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 62.5Event APEX 49.66Rank 20Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6702, 7102, 4635
79
/ 100 compatProjected
182.2 pts
~1.9 RP (regional)
Teams: 6702, 7102, 4635
Auto
48.9 28%
Teleop
105.4 60%
Endgame
21.7 12%
Strengths
- · 4635 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5887, 8741, 6348
64
/ 100 compatProjected
92.6 pts
~0.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 5887, 8741, 6348
Auto
17.0 22%
Teleop
41.9 53%
Endgame
20.1 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.94 · Blue 0.79
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score182.2pts
Blue projected score92.6pts
Red win probability75%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 39%, blue 26%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 89.6
- Score range
- 75–200
- Upset likelihood
- 25%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
466.5Season APEX133.7
48.9Auto17
105.4Teleop41.9
21.7Endgame20.1
0Consistency92
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 57 | 22 |
| teleop | 171 | 38 |
| endgame | 57 | 47 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 290 | 107 |
Result
Final score
290 – 107
Prediction correct · off by 61.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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