Regional Monterrey presented by PrepaTec

Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

52.79 – 49.24

51%49%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

84 – 76

Prediction correct · off by 29 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 95.2 ±19.7

6832STEAMex

Provisional

Season APEX 21.5Event APEX 21.23Rank 42Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

10565FARADAY- Prepa Tecmilenio

Provisional

Season APEX 40.6Event APEX 13.44Rank 23Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

3522CBoT´S4

Season APEX 33.1Event APEX 18.12Rank 22Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 80

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 153.8 ±19.7

10529BATS

Provisional

Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 8.99Rank 31Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

5932Prepa Tecmilenio - Quetzales

Season APEX 59.7Event APEX 30.05Rank 16Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 80

4723Prepa Tecmilenio - EARTH - 4723

Provisional

Season APEX 54Event APEX 10.2Rank 21Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6832, 10565, 3522

/ 100 compat

Projected

52.8 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 6832, 10565, 3522

Auto

4.5 9%

Teleop

26.8 54%

Endgame

18.5 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10529, 5932, 4723

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.2 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 10529, 5932, 4723

Auto

13.1 26%

Teleop

21.9 44%

Endgame

14.6 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.28 · Blue 1.28

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score52.8pts

Blue projected score49.2pts

Red win probability51%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 21%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 3.5
Score range: 31–71
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 160 vs event baseline 99.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

95.2Season APEX153.8

4.5Auto13.1

26.8Teleop21.9

18.5Endgame14.6

88Consistency74

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	21
teleop	52	39
endgame	17	16
foul	5	0
total	84	76

Result

Final score

84 – 76

Prediction correct · off by 29 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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