Qualification · Qualification 43
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
224.55 – 18.83
93%7%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
241 – 22
Prediction correct · off by 9.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 592.4 ±11.7
Season APEX 237.3Event APEX 88.33Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 205.1Event APEX 84.45Rank 12Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 150Event APEX 51.77Rank 8Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 173.8 ±18.4
9282PrepaTec- SINAVOLT
Provisional
Season APEX 32.2Event APEX 0.76Rank 27Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 96.7Event APEX 0.91Rank 25Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
4782PrepaTec - Borrebots
Provisional
Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 17.16Rank 29Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3354, 7421, 7546
80
/ 100 compatProjected
224.6 pts
~2.3 RP (regional)
Teams: 3354, 7421, 7546
Auto
40.2 19%
Teleop
126.2 59%
Endgame
46.3 22%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9282, 8740, 4782
13
/ 100 compatProjected
18.8 pts
~0.5 RP (regional)
Teams: 9282, 8740, 4782
Auto
7.3 67%
Teleop
-7.3 0%
Endgame
10.9 100%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.31 · Blue 0.49
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score224.6pts
Blue projected score18.8pts
Red win probability93%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 42%, blue 31%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 205.7
- Score range
- 1–243
- Upset likelihood
- 7%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
592.4Season APEX173.8
40.2Auto7.3
126.2Teleop-7.3
46.3Endgame10.9
44Consistency107
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 33 | 8 |
| teleop | 138 | 2 |
| endgame | 70 | 2 |
| foul | 0 | 10 |
| total | 241 | 22 |
Result
Final score
241 – 22
Prediction correct · off by 9.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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