Qualification · Qualification 42
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
8.34 – 156.46
14%86%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
74 – 198
Prediction correct · off by 53.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 250.8 ±17
Season APEX 160.6Event APEX 36.92Rank 7Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94
9060Prepa Tecmilenio - Desert Robotics
Provisional
Season APEX 23.8Event APEX -18.86Rank 41Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 66.4Event APEX -9.72Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 610.8 ±12.8
Season APEX 170.1Event APEX -1.08Rank 32Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 221Event APEX 27.96Rank 11Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 219.7Event APEX 129.58Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 11065, 9060, 4010
5
/ 100 compatProjected
8.3 pts
~0.6 RP (regional)
Teams: 11065, 9060, 4010
Auto
-2.3 0%
Teleop
11.7 100%
Endgame
-5.5 0%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 25%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6200, 6106, 6017
83
/ 100 compatProjected
156.5 pts
~2.0 RP (regional)
Teams: 6200, 6106, 6017
Auto
16.7 11%
Teleop
99.0 63%
Endgame
40.9 26%
Strengths
- · 6017 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 25%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.57 · Blue 2.02
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score8.3pts
Blue projected score156.5pts
Red win probability14%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 25%, blue 25%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -148.1
- Score range
- -10–174
- Upset likelihood
- 14%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
250.8Season APEX610.8
-2.3Auto16.7
11.7Teleop99
-5.5Endgame40.9
95Consistency106
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 12 | 36 |
| teleop | 33 | 103 |
| endgame | 24 | 39 |
| foul | 5 | 20 |
| total | 74 | 198 |
Result
Final score
74 – 198
Prediction correct · off by 53.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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