Regional Monterrey presented by PrepaTec

Qualification · Qualification 41

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

82.4 – 37.28

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

75 – 24

Prediction correct · off by 10.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 234.7 ±18.4

9213Tecuani

Provisional

Season APEX 64.8Event APEX 19.1Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

6652Tigres

Season APEX 150.4Event APEX 50.81Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9053Prepa Tecmilenio - Iron Hawks

Provisional

Season APEX 19.5Event APEX 12.49Rank 38Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 178.4 ±19.2

6676Prepa Tecmilenio - Thunder Hawks - 6676

Provisional

Season APEX 45.9Event APEX 12.52Rank 26Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

10225Prepa Tecmilenio - PYROX

Season APEX 113.1Event APEX 15.52Rank 37Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

6606Prepa Tecmilenio Pink Hawks 6606

Provisional

Season APEX 19.4Event APEX 9.24Rank 40Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9213, 6652, 9053

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.4 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 9213, 6652, 9053

Auto

14.2 17%

Teleop

43.9 53%

Endgame

24.0 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6676, 10225, 6606

/ 100 compat

Projected

37.3 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 6676, 10225, 6606

Auto

16.3 45%

Teleop

-3.3 0%

Endgame

23.3 64%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.56 · Blue 1.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score82.4pts

Blue projected score37.3pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 45.1
Score range: 19–100
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 99 vs event baseline 98.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

234.7Season APEX178.4

14.2Auto16.3

43.9Teleop-3.3

24Endgame23.3

69Consistency28

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	11
teleop	37	5
endgame	21	8
foul	0	0
total	75	24

Result

Final score

75 – 24

Prediction correct · off by 10.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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