Qualification · Qualification 4
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
65.64 – 83.06
45%55%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
32 – 52
Prediction correct · off by 32.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 242.6 ±17
Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 6.66Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91
Season APEX 129Event APEX 33.8Rank 19Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94
5133PrepaTec - Blue Steel
Provisional
Season APEX 47.2Event APEX 25.18Rank 28Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 253.5 ±16.5
Season APEX 63.4Event APEX 7.35Rank 24Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94
10529BATS
Provisional
Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 5.62Rank 31Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 150Event APEX 70.09Rank 8Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4010, 6702, 5133
37
/ 100 compatProjected
65.6 pts
~1.2 RP (regional)
Teams: 4010, 6702, 5133
Auto
3.8 7%
Teleop
40.7 71%
Endgame
13.1 23%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 24%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3472, 10529, 7546
50
/ 100 compatProjected
83.1 pts
~1.4 RP (regional)
Teams: 3472, 10529, 7546
Auto
12.7 17%
Teleop
46.4 60%
Endgame
17.8 23%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 24%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.19 · Blue 1.44
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score65.6pts
Blue projected score83.1pts
Red win probability45%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 24%, blue 29%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -17.4
- Score range
- 45–104
- Upset likelihood
- 45%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
242.6Season APEX253.5
3.8Auto12.7
40.7Teleop46.4
13.1Endgame17.8
52Consistency33
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 4 | 2 |
| teleop | 14 | 23 |
| endgame | 9 | 17 |
| foul | 5 | 10 |
| total | 32 | 52 |
Result
Final score
32 – 52
Prediction correct · off by 32.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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