Regional Monterrey presented by PrepaTec

Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

77.39 – 37.36

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

31 – 66

Prediction missed · off by 37.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 127.6 ±19.7

6832STEAMex

Provisional

Season APEX 21.5Event APEX 31.2Rank 42Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

4371Prepa Tecmilenio - ART

Provisional

Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 6.32Rank 36Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

5932Prepa Tecmilenio - Quetzales

Season APEX 59.7Event APEX 39.87Rank 16Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 80

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 141.1 ±17

10931Silver Talon

Provisional

Season APEX 24.2Event APEX -17.35Rank 39Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

3472PrepaTec - Buluk

Season APEX 63.4Event APEX 11.59Rank 24Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

5887PrepaTec IMPERATOR

Season APEX 53.5Event APEX 43.12Rank 13Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 91

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6832, 4371, 5932

/ 100 compat

Projected

77.4 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 6832, 4371, 5932

Auto

18.3 24%

Teleop

32.8 43%

Endgame

25.8 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10931, 3472, 5887

/ 100 compat

Projected

37.4 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 10931, 3472, 5887

Auto

0.9 3%

Teleop

7.3 27%

Endgame

18.9 70%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.51 · Blue 1.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score77.4pts

Blue projected score37.4pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 22%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 40
Score range: 19–95
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 97 vs event baseline 97.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

127.6Season APEX141.1

18.3Auto0.9

32.8Teleop7.3

25.8Endgame18.9

46Consistency82

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	16
teleop	11	35
endgame	7	15
foul	0	0
total	31	66

Result

Final score

31 – 66

Prediction missed · off by 37.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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