Regional Monterrey presented by PrepaTec

Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

26.1 – 93.83

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

18 – 122

Prediction correct · off by 18.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 112.3 ±20.8

10565FARADAY- Prepa Tecmilenio

Provisional

Season APEX 40.6Event APEX 17.71Rank 23Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

8741Prepa Tecmilenio - Raccoons

Provisional

Season APEX 17.7Event APEX -2.37Rank 43Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

4723Prepa Tecmilenio - EARTH - 4723

Provisional

Season APEX 54Event APEX 10.76Rank 21Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 209.9 ±17.4

7102PrepaTec - Daedalus

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 1.48Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 92

3933PrepaTec - Taman Keet

Season APEX 52.9Event APEX 37.23Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 80

4584SentinelFox Engineering

Season APEX 81.5Event APEX 55.12Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10565, 8741, 4723

/ 100 compat

Projected

26.1 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 10565, 8741, 4723

Auto

6.7 31%

Teleop

4.6 21%

Endgame

10.5 48%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7102, 3933, 4584

/ 100 compat

Projected

93.8 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 7102, 3933, 4584

Auto

3.8 4%

Teleop

74.2 82%

Endgame

12.8 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.88 · Blue 1.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score26.1pts

Blue projected score93.8pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -67.7
Score range: 8–112
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 140 vs event baseline 99.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

112.3Season APEX209.9

6.7Auto3.8

4.6Teleop74.2

10.5Endgame12.8

70Consistency42

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	14
teleop	5	95
endgame	0	13
foul	5	0
total	18	122

Result

Final score

18 – 122

Prediction correct · off by 18.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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