Qualification · Qualification 36
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
116.68 – 46.95
70%30%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
148 – 36
Prediction correct · off by 21.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 385.2 ±15.6
9053Prepa Tecmilenio - Iron Hawks
Provisional
Season APEX 19.5Event APEX 2.69Rank 38Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 160.6Event APEX 31.98Rank 7Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Season APEX 205.1Event APEX 82.01Rank 12Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 160.1 ±18.6
4782PrepaTec - Borrebots
Provisional
Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 20.77Rank 29Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 66.4Event APEX -7.06Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91
Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 33.24Rank 30Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9053, 11065, 7421
65
/ 100 compatProjected
116.7 pts
~1.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 9053, 11065, 7421
Auto
12.4 12%
Teleop
66.2 63%
Endgame
27.0 26%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 30%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4782, 4010, 5959
32
/ 100 compatProjected
47 pts
~0.9 RP (regional)
Teams: 4782, 4010, 5959
Auto
9.1 25%
Teleop
9.2 26%
Endgame
17.7 49%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 30%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.75 · Blue 0.86
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score116.7pts
Blue projected score47pts
Red win probability70%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 30%, blue 23%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 69.7
- Score range
- 29–135
- Upset likelihood
- 30%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-17
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
385.2Season APEX160.1
12.4Auto9.1
66.2Teleop9.2
27Endgame17.7
72Consistency55
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 37 | 8 |
| teleop | 86 | 14 |
| endgame | 25 | 4 |
| foul | 0 | 10 |
| total | 148 | 36 |
Result
Final score
148 – 36
Prediction correct · off by 21.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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