Qualification · Qualification 35
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
11.95 – 194.5
9%91%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
43 – 164
Prediction correct · off by 30.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 357.9 ±17
9060Prepa Tecmilenio - Desert Robotics
Provisional
Season APEX 23.8Event APEX -20.28Rank 41Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 221Event APEX 27.86Rank 11Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 113.1Event APEX 4.37Rank 37Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 404.8 ±11.7
Season APEX 96.7Event APEX 8.52Rank 25Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 262Event APEX 160.84Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 46.1Event APEX 25.14Rank 34Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9060, 6106, 10225
13
/ 100 compatProjected
12 pts
~0.5 RP (regional)
Teams: 9060, 6106, 10225
Auto
-1.3 0%
Teleop
10.6 97%
Endgame
1.6 15%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 27%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8740, 4635, 9280
78
/ 100 compatProjected
194.5 pts
~2.2 RP (regional)
Teams: 8740, 4635, 9280
Auto
52.2 29%
Teleop
109.2 60%
Endgame
21.1 12%
Strengths
- · 4635 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 27%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.49 · Blue 2.22
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score12pts
Blue projected score194.5pts
Red win probability9%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 27%, blue 36%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -182.5
- Score range
- -6–213
- Upset likelihood
- 9%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
357.9Season APEX404.8
-1.3Auto52.2
10.6Teleop109.2
1.6Endgame21.1
132Consistency34
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 12 | 66 |
| teleop | 11 | 53 |
| endgame | 15 | 45 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 43 | 164 |
Result
Final score
43 – 164
Prediction correct · off by 30.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.