Qualification · Qualification 34
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
240.37 – 195.63
64%36%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
295 – 38
Prediction correct · off by 106.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 513.8 ±14.7
Season APEX 219.7Event APEX 108.73Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 247.7Event APEX 133.26Rank 2Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
4371Prepa Tecmilenio - ART
Provisional
Season APEX 46.4Event APEX -1.62Rank 36Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 321.2 ±16.7
Season APEX 59.7Event APEX 72.84Rank 16Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 80
Season APEX 237.3Event APEX 116.6Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
10931Silver Talon
Provisional
Season APEX 24.2Event APEX 6.19Rank 39Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6017, 3478, 4371
79
/ 100 compatProjected
240.4 pts
~1.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 6017, 3478, 4371
Auto
41.3 17%
Teleop
148.5 62%
Endgame
48.7 20%
Strengths
- · 3478 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5932, 3354, 10931
83
/ 100 compatProjected
195.6 pts
~1.0 RP (regional)
Teams: 5932, 3354, 10931
Auto
40.9 22%
Teleop
96.2 51%
Endgame
50.6 27%
Strengths
- · 3354 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.75 · Blue 1.04
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score240.4pts
Blue projected score195.6pts
Red win probability64%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 43%, blue 27%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 44.7
- Score range
- 179–257
- Upset likelihood
- 36%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
513.8Season APEX321.2
41.3Auto40.9
148.5Teleop96.2
48.7Endgame50.6
48Consistency20
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 51 | 22 |
| teleop | 139 | 8 |
| endgame | 105 | 8 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 295 | 38 |
Result
Final score
295 – 38
Prediction correct · off by 106.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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