Regional Monterrey presented by PrepaTec

Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

90.68 – 39.41

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

85 – 36

Prediction correct · off by 4.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 159.6 ±20.2

6676Prepa Tecmilenio - Thunder Hawks - 6676

Provisional

Season APEX 45.9Event APEX 11.02Rank 26Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

4584SentinelFox Engineering

Season APEX 81.5Event APEX 65.5Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 77

9282PrepaTec- SINAVOLT

Provisional

Season APEX 32.2Event APEX 14.16Rank 27Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 139.1 ±18.8

10565FARADAY- Prepa Tecmilenio

Provisional

Season APEX 40.6Event APEX 14.52Rank 23Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

3472PrepaTec - Buluk

Season APEX 63.4Event APEX 7.45Rank 24Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

3794Prepa Tecmilenio WinT

Provisional

Season APEX 35.1Event APEX 17.44Rank 35Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6676, 4584, 9282

/ 100 compat

Projected

90.7 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 6676, 4584, 9282

Auto

-0.3 0%

Teleop

55.7 62%

Endgame

34.8 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10565, 3472, 3794

/ 100 compat

Projected

39.4 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 10565, 3472, 3794

Auto

10.6 30%

Teleop

7.2 20%

Endgame

17.9 50%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.63 · Blue 1.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score90.7pts

Blue projected score39.4pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 51.3
Score range: 21–109
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 121 vs event baseline 100.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

159.6Season APEX139.1

-0.3Auto10.6

55.7Teleop7.2

34.8Endgame17.9

68Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	15
teleop	36	15
endgame	36	6
foul	0	0
total	85	36

Result

Final score

85 – 36

Prediction correct · off by 4.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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