Regional Monterrey presented by PrepaTec

Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

80.03 – 61.51

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

98 – 51

Prediction correct · off by 14.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 157.8 ±19.1

4775Aztech Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 56.1Event APEX 9.93Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

5959PrepaTec - Titanium Rams

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 32.32Rank 30Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

3933PrepaTec - Taman Keet

Season APEX 52.9Event APEX 37.78Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 80

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 202.2 ±17.5

6702PrepaTec - StingBots

Season APEX 129Event APEX 16.96Rank 19Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

3522CBoT´S4

Season APEX 33.1Event APEX 25.23Rank 22Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 80

10529BATS

Provisional

Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 19.32Rank 31Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4775, 5959, 3933

/ 100 compat

Projected

80 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 4775, 5959, 3933

Auto

9.6 14%

Teleop

20.3 29%

Endgame

39.6 57%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6702, 3522, 10529

/ 100 compat

Projected

61.5 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 6702, 3522, 10529

Auto

8.5 14%

Teleop

40.6 69%

Endgame

10.1 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.35 · Blue 1.17

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score80pts

Blue projected score61.5pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 19%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 18.5
Score range: 44–98
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 149 vs event baseline 101.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

157.8Season APEX202.2

9.6Auto8.5

20.3Teleop40.6

39.6Endgame10.1

104Consistency70

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	12
teleop	56	25
endgame	27	14
foul	0	0
total	98	51

Result

Final score

98 – 51

Prediction correct · off by 14.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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