Regional Monterrey presented by PrepaTec

Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

17.62 – 71.12

34%66%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

46 – 55

Prediction correct · off by 22.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 237.7 ±16.5

6200PrepaTec - XRAMS

Season APEX 170.1Event APEX -3.52Rank 32Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6832STEAMex

Provisional

Season APEX 21.5Event APEX 10.55Rank 42Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

9280PrepaTec - High Altitude Robotics

Season APEX 46.1Event APEX 10.59Rank 34Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 135.3 ±19.7

4775Aztech Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 56.1Event APEX 42.68Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

5932Prepa Tecmilenio - Quetzales

Season APEX 59.7Event APEX 30.59Rank 16Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 80

9053Prepa Tecmilenio - Iron Hawks

Provisional

Season APEX 19.5Event APEX -2.15Rank 38Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6200, 6832, 9280

/ 100 compat

Projected

17.6 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 6200, 6832, 9280

Auto

12.4 98%

Teleop

2.3 18%

Endgame

-2.0 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 16%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4775, 5932, 9053

/ 100 compat

Projected

71.1 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 4775, 5932, 9053

Auto

17.6 24%

Teleop

33.8 46%

Endgame

21.8 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 16%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.88 · Blue 1.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score17.6pts

Blue projected score71.1pts

Red win probability34%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 16%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -53.5
Score range: -3–92
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 101 vs event baseline 118.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

237.7Season APEX135.3

12.4Auto17.6

2.3Teleop33.8

-2Endgame21.8

9Consistency43

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	0	9
teleop	34	36
endgame	12	10
foul	0	0
total	46	55

Result

Final score

46 – 55

Prediction correct · off by 22.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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