Qualification · Qualification 29
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
27.22 – 211.91
9%91%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
92 – 237
Prediction correct · off by 44.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 242.9 ±16
Season APEX 46.1Event APEX 7.86Rank 34Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 150.4Event APEX 27.64Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
4371Prepa Tecmilenio - ART
Provisional
Season APEX 46.4Event APEX -8.28Rank 36Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 532.5 ±12.4
Season APEX 219.7Event APEX 101.47Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 237.3Event APEX 117.56Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 75.5Event APEX -7.12Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 92
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9280, 6652, 4371
27
/ 100 compatProjected
27.2 pts
~0.5 RP (regional)
Teams: 9280, 6652, 4371
Auto
10.6 26%
Teleop
27.3 68%
Endgame
2.5 6%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 28%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6017, 3354, 7102
85
/ 100 compatProjected
211.9 pts
~2.3 RP (regional)
Teams: 6017, 3354, 7102
Auto
38.5 20%
Teleop
102.3 53%
Endgame
53.9 28%
Strengths
- · 3354 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 28%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.5 · Blue 2.31
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score27.2pts
Blue projected score211.9pts
Red win probability9%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 28%, blue 45%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -184.7
- Score range
- 9–230
- Upset likelihood
- 9%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
242.9Season APEX532.5
10.6Auto38.5
27.3Teleop102.3
2.5Endgame53.9
54Consistency126
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 16 | 36 |
| teleop | 40 | 177 |
| endgame | 31 | 24 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 92 | 237 |
Result
Final score
92 – 237
Prediction correct · off by 44.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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