Qualification · Qualification 27
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
16.91 – 187.68
11%89%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
126 – 217
Prediction correct · off by 69.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 219.1 ±18.8
4782PrepaTec - Borrebots
Provisional
Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 9.61Rank 29Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
10931Silver Talon
Provisional
Season APEX 24.2Event APEX -13.32Rank 39Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 150Event APEX 20.62Rank 8Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 368.7 ±17
Season APEX 52.7Event APEX 34.24Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 77
4723Prepa Tecmilenio - EARTH - 4723
Provisional
Season APEX 54Event APEX 10.8Rank 21Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 262Event APEX 142.64Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4782, 10931, 7546
32
/ 100 compatProjected
16.9 pts
~0.5 RP (regional)
Teams: 4782, 10931, 7546
Auto
5.2 43%
Teleop
6.4 53%
Endgame
0.5 4%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 29%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6170, 4723, 4635
83
/ 100 compatProjected
187.7 pts
~2.2 RP (regional)
Teams: 6170, 4723, 4635
Auto
53.0 30%
Teleop
79.9 45%
Endgame
43.8 25%
Strengths
- · 4635 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 29%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.54 · Blue 2.18
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score16.9pts
Blue projected score187.7pts
Red win probability11%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 29%, blue 35%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -170.8
- Score range
- 0–205
- Upset likelihood
- 11%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
219.1Season APEX368.7
5.2Auto53
6.4Teleop79.9
0.5Endgame43.8
207Consistency45
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 19 | 57 |
| teleop | 64 | 116 |
| endgame | 38 | 44 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 126 | 217 |
Result
Final score
126 – 217
Prediction correct · off by 69.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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