Regional Monterrey presented by PrepaTec

Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

66.24 – 97.97

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

62 – 69

Prediction correct · off by 16.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 140.9 ±20.2

9282PrepaTec- SINAVOLT

Provisional

Season APEX 32.2Event APEX 20.26Rank 27Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

3480PrepaTec - ABTOMAT

Season APEX 43.9Event APEX 31.07Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 76

9213Tecuani

Provisional

Season APEX 64.8Event APEX 14.91Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 398.8 ±15.8

5959PrepaTec - Titanium Rams

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 41.69Rank 30Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

6702PrepaTec - StingBots

Season APEX 129Event APEX 15.1Rank 19Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

6106PrepaTec - TecGear

Season APEX 221Event APEX 41.18Rank 11Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9282, 3480, 9213

/ 100 compat

Projected

66.2 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 9282, 3480, 9213

Auto

0.4 1%

Teleop

44.5 66%

Endgame

22.8 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5959, 6702, 6106

/ 100 compat

Projected

98 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 5959, 6702, 6106

Auto

17.2 20%

Teleop

22.2 26%

Endgame

45.1 53%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.1 · Blue 1.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score66.2pts

Blue projected score98pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -31.7
Score range: 49–115
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 131 vs event baseline 95.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

140.9Season APEX398.8

0.4Auto17.2

44.5Teleop22.2

22.8Endgame45.1

71Consistency47

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	6	8
teleop	27	42
endgame	24	19
foul	5	0
total	62	69

Result

Final score

62 – 69

Prediction correct · off by 16.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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