Regional Monterrey presented by PrepaTec

Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

20.41 – 52.78

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

90 – 116

Prediction correct · off by 66.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 95.3 ±20.8

6832STEAMex

Provisional

Season APEX 21.5Event APEX 32.01Rank 42Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

4775Aztech Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 56.1Event APEX 3.35Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

8741Prepa Tecmilenio - Raccoons

Provisional

Season APEX 17.7Event APEX -14.95Rank 43Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 294.3 ±15.6

6652Tigres

Season APEX 150.4Event APEX 18.74Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5133PrepaTec - Blue Steel

Provisional

Season APEX 47.2Event APEX 32.43Rank 28Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

8740Prepa Tecmilenio - Quantum Force

Season APEX 96.7Event APEX 1.61Rank 25Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6832, 4775, 8741

/ 100 compat

Projected

20.4 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 6832, 4775, 8741

Auto

1.1 8%

Teleop

3.0 23%

Endgame

9.2 69%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6652, 5133, 8740

/ 100 compat

Projected

52.8 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 6652, 5133, 8740

Auto

19.1 32%

Teleop

8.0 13%

Endgame

32.4 54%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.01 · Blue 1.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score20.4pts

Blue projected score52.8pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 17%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -32.4
Score range: 3–70
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 206 vs event baseline 94.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

95.3Season APEX294.3

1.1Auto19.1

3Teleop8

9.2Endgame32.4

212Consistency87

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	20
teleop	41	72
endgame	33	24
foul	5	0
total	90	116

Result

Final score

90 – 116

Prediction correct · off by 66.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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