Qualification · Qualification 23
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
74.3 – 50.46
57%43%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
82 – 47
Prediction correct · off by 5.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 138.9 ±19.7
Season APEX 52.9Event APEX 37.31Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 80
10529BATS
Provisional
Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 30.32Rank 31Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
6676Prepa Tecmilenio - Thunder Hawks - 6676
Provisional
Season APEX 45.9Event APEX 6.67Rank 26Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 96.7 ±19.2
6606Prepa Tecmilenio Pink Hawks 6606
Provisional
Season APEX 19.4Event APEX 21.14Rank 40Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 53.5Event APEX 34.83Rank 13Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 91
9060Prepa Tecmilenio - Desert Robotics
Provisional
Season APEX 23.8Event APEX -5.51Rank 41Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3933, 10529, 6676
52
/ 100 compatProjected
74.3 pts
~1.4 RP (regional)
Teams: 3933, 10529, 6676
Auto
18.9 29%
Teleop
38.8 59%
Endgame
7.7 12%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 21%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6606, 5887, 9060
33
/ 100 compatProjected
50.5 pts
~1.1 RP (regional)
Teams: 6606, 5887, 9060
Auto
14.8 31%
Teleop
11.7 24%
Endgame
22.0 45%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 21%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.39 · Blue 1.15
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score74.3pts
Blue projected score50.5pts
Red win probability57%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 21%, blue 26%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 23.8
- Score range
- 33–91
- Upset likelihood
- 43%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
138.9Season APEX96.7
18.9Auto14.8
38.8Teleop11.7
7.7Endgame22
108Consistency114
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 6 | 11 |
| teleop | 42 | 36 |
| endgame | 34 | 0 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 82 | 47 |
Result
Final score
82 – 47
Prediction correct · off by 5.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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