Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

74.350.46

57%43%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

8247

Prediction correct · off by 5.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 138.9 ±19.7
Season APEX 52.9Event APEX 37.31Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 80
10529BATS
Provisional
Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 30.32Rank 31Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 45.9Event APEX 6.67Rank 26Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 96.7 ±19.2
Season APEX 19.4Event APEX 21.14Rank 40Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 53.5Event APEX 34.83Rank 13Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 91
Season APEX 23.8Event APEX -5.51Rank 41Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3933, 10529, 6676
52
/ 100 compat
Projected
74.3 pts
~1.4 RP (regional)
Teams: 3933, 10529, 6676
Auto
18.9 29%
Teleop
38.8 59%
Endgame
7.7 12%
Strengths
Weaknesses
  • · Thin endgame coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 21%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6606, 5887, 9060
33
/ 100 compat
Projected
50.5 pts
~1.1 RP (regional)
Teams: 6606, 5887, 9060
Auto
14.8 31%
Teleop
11.7 24%
Endgame
22.0 45%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 21%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.39 · Blue 1.15
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score74.3pts
Blue projected score50.5pts
Red win probability57%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 21%, blue 26%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
23.8
Score range
3391
Upset likelihood
43%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 129 vs event baseline 96.3.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

138.9Season APEX96.7
18.9Auto14.8
38.8Teleop11.7
7.7Endgame22
108Consistency114

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto611
teleop4236
endgame340
foul00
total8247

Result

Final score

8247

Prediction correct · off by 5.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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