Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

52.657.71

48%52%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

25215

Prediction correct · off by 92.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 110.9 ±18.8
Season APEX 46.1Event APEX 25.27Rank 34Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 40.6Event APEX 24.57Rank 23Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 24.2Event APEX 2.76Rank 39Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 396.6 ±12.2
Season APEX 62.5Event APEX 49.02Rank 20Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 205.1Event APEX 36.47Rank 12Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 129Event APEX -27.78Rank 19Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9280, 10565, 10931
37
/ 100 compat
Projected
52.6 pts
~1.2 RP (regional)
Teams: 9280, 10565, 10931
Auto
6.4 12%
Teleop
15.7 29%
Endgame
31.3 59%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 23%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6348, 7421, 6702
45
/ 100 compat
Projected
57.7 pts
~1.4 RP (regional)
Teams: 6348, 7421, 6702
Auto
17.0 31%
Teleop
14.8 27%
Endgame
23.0 42%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 23%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.23 · Blue 1.44
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score52.6pts
Blue projected score57.7pts
Red win probability48%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 23%, blue 37%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
-5.1
Score range
3675
Upset likelihood
48%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 240 vs event baseline 96.9.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

110.9Season APEX396.6
6.4Auto17
15.7Teleop14.8
31.3Endgame23
0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto931
teleop10103
endgame146
foul535
total25215

Result

Final score

25215

Prediction correct · off by 92.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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