Qualification · Qualification 2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
76.03 – 178.65
22%78%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
37 – 88
Prediction correct · off by 64.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 162.6 ±18
4723Prepa Tecmilenio - EARTH - 4723
Provisional
Season APEX 54Event APEX 24.09Rank 21Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 33.1Event APEX 26.42Rank 22Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 80
Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 25.52Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 92
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 303.7 ±18
Season APEX 247.7Event APEX 162.65Rank 2Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
9060Prepa Tecmilenio - Desert Robotics
Provisional
Season APEX 23.8Event APEX 3.84Rank 41Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
9282PrepaTec- SINAVOLT
Provisional
Season APEX 32.2Event APEX 12.16Rank 27Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4723, 3522, 7102
44
/ 100 compatProjected
76 pts
~0.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 4723, 3522, 7102
Auto
13.8 18%
Teleop
47.4 63%
Endgame
13.7 18%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 28%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3478, 9060, 9282
82
/ 100 compatProjected
178.7 pts
~1.9 RP (regional)
Teams: 3478, 9060, 9282
Auto
32.6 19%
Teleop
96.5 56%
Endgame
44.4 26%
Strengths
- · 3478 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 28%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.76 · Blue 1.91
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score76pts
Blue projected score178.7pts
Red win probability22%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 28%, blue 30%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -102.6
- Score range
- 55–200
- Upset likelihood
- 22%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
162.6Season APEX303.7
13.8Auto32.6
47.4Teleop96.5
13.7Endgame44.4
9Consistency49
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 5 | 2 |
| teleop | 19 | 53 |
| endgame | 3 | 28 |
| foul | 10 | 5 |
| total | 37 | 88 |
Result
Final score
37 – 88
Prediction correct · off by 64.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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