Qualification · Qualification 19
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
107.37 – 13.93
76%24%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
212 – 68
Prediction correct · off by 79.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 366 ±17.3
Season APEX 81.5Event APEX 37.98Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 77
Season APEX 219.7Event APEX 69.54Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
9213Tecuani
Provisional
Season APEX 64.8Event APEX -0.15Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 238.3 ±18.8
9282PrepaTec- SINAVOLT
Provisional
Season APEX 32.2Event APEX 10.83Rank 27Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
4775Aztech Robotics
Provisional
Season APEX 56.1Event APEX -4.58Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 74
Season APEX 150Event APEX 7.68Rank 8Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4584, 6017, 9213
74
/ 100 compatProjected
107.4 pts
~2.0 RP (regional)
Teams: 4584, 6017, 9213
Auto
18.8 18%
Teleop
54.4 52%
Endgame
31.7 30%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9282, 4775, 7546
13
/ 100 compatProjected
13.9 pts
~0.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 9282, 4775, 7546
Auto
-16.4 0%
Teleop
14.1 100%
Endgame
15.0 100%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.99 · Blue 0.79
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score107.4pts
Blue projected score13.9pts
Red win probability76%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 43%, blue 27%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 93.4
- Score range
- -3–124
- Upset likelihood
- 24%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
366Season APEX238.3
18.8Auto-16.4
54.4Teleop14.1
31.7Endgame15
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 5 | 4 |
| teleop | 160 | 48 |
| endgame | 47 | 16 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 212 | 68 |
Result
Final score
212 – 68
Prediction correct · off by 79.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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