Qualification · Qualification 18
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
109.48 – 17.2
76%24%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
278 – 31
Prediction correct · off by 91.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 326.8 ±16.7
Season APEX 247.7Event APEX 61.29Rank 2Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
6606Prepa Tecmilenio Pink Hawks 6606
Provisional
Season APEX 19.4Event APEX 7.27Rank 40Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 59.7Event APEX 40.92Rank 16Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 80
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 88.7 ±20.8
5133PrepaTec - Blue Steel
Provisional
Season APEX 47.2Event APEX 15.2Rank 28Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
9060Prepa Tecmilenio - Desert Robotics
Provisional
Season APEX 23.8Event APEX 6.49Rank 41Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
8741Prepa Tecmilenio - Raccoons
Provisional
Season APEX 17.7Event APEX -4.49Rank 43Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3478, 6606, 5932
75
/ 100 compatProjected
109.5 pts
~1.9 RP (regional)
Teams: 3478, 6606, 5932
Auto
22.5 21%
Teleop
63.7 61%
Endgame
18.7 18%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 35%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5133, 9060, 8741
30
/ 100 compatProjected
17.2 pts
~0.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 5133, 9060, 8741
Auto
0.9 4%
Teleop
11.7 52%
Endgame
10.1 44%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 35%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.91 · Blue 0.75
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score109.5pts
Blue projected score17.2pts
Red win probability76%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 35%, blue 22%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 92.3
- Score range
- 1–125
- Upset likelihood
- 24%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-17
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
326.8Season APEX88.7
22.5Auto0.9
63.7Teleop11.7
18.7Endgame10.1
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 70 | 12 |
| teleop | 127 | 15 |
| endgame | 81 | 4 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 278 | 31 |
Result
Final score
278 – 31
Prediction correct · off by 91.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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