Qualification · Qualification 16
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
28.87 – 137.8
20%80%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
78 – 37
Prediction missed · off by 75 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 140.8 ±18
6832STEAMex
Provisional
Season APEX 21.5Event APEX -1.48Rank 42Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 74
Season APEX 52.9Event APEX 16.41Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 80
Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 13.94Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 170.2 ±18.6
Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 6.32Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 92
Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 78.52Rank 30Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76
6676Prepa Tecmilenio - Thunder Hawks - 6676
Provisional
Season APEX 45.9Event APEX 52.96Rank 26Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6832, 3933, 4010
34
/ 100 compatProjected
28.9 pts
~0.6 RP (regional)
Teams: 6832, 3933, 4010
Auto
0.8 3%
Teleop
15.0 58%
Endgame
9.9 39%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 16%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7102, 5959, 6676
88
/ 100 compatProjected
137.8 pts
~1.9 RP (regional)
Teams: 7102, 5959, 6676
Auto
38.3 30%
Teleop
52.0 41%
Endgame
35.9 28%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 16%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.61 · Blue 1.88
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score28.9pts
Blue projected score137.8pts
Red win probability20%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 16%, blue 25%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -108.9
- Score range
- 13–154
- Upset likelihood
- 20%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
140.8Season APEX170.2
0.8Auto38.3
15Teleop52
9.9Endgame35.9
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 5 | 9 |
| teleop | 34 | 10 |
| endgame | 9 | 18 |
| foul | 30 | 0 |
| total | 78 | 37 |
Result
Final score
78 – 37
Prediction missed · off by 75 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.