Regional Monterrey presented by PrepaTec

Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

79.78 – 50.48

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

112 – 54

Prediction correct · off by 17.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 246 ±14.1

6652Tigres

Season APEX 150.4Event APEX 38.16Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3522CBoT´S4

Season APEX 33.1Event APEX 9.47Rank 22Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 80

6348PrepaTec - HORUS

Season APEX 62.5Event APEX 32.15Rank 20Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 285.4 ±18.8

9053Prepa Tecmilenio - Iron Hawks

Provisional

Season APEX 19.5Event APEX 1.86Rank 38Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

4782PrepaTec - Borrebots

Provisional

Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 2.93Rank 29Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

6106PrepaTec - TecGear

Season APEX 221Event APEX 45.69Rank 11Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6652, 3522, 6348

/ 100 compat

Projected

79.8 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 6652, 3522, 6348

Auto

17.4 24%

Teleop

38.4 52%

Endgame

18.1 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9053, 4782, 6106

/ 100 compat

Projected

50.5 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 9053, 4782, 6106

Auto

8.4 16%

Teleop

30.8 58%

Endgame

13.5 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.52 · Blue 1.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score79.8pts

Blue projected score50.5pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 29.3
Score range: 33–97
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 166 vs event baseline 91.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

246Season APEX285.4

17.4Auto8.4

38.4Teleop30.8

18.1Endgame13.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	15
teleop	60	24
endgame	37	10
foul	0	5
total	112	54

Result

Final score

112 – 54

Prediction correct · off by 17.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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